Markets saw its first real start of a potential sell off with mkts around the world being down around 1-2%
So here is my view:
1. VIX saw its biggest rally this year , and often when VIX rises so much in 1 day , we have seen more kind of selling pressure. So I think SPX is not done to downside and more selling is coming.
2. NYSI remains neutral , not overbought now , neither oversold. I think it gets more oversold before it starts to rally.
3. Gold looks like an A,B,C correction has started and I think we are yet to see the low in Gold, possbile one more flush and then we see a bottom before Gold continues higher in the next months ahead.
4. SPX is trading sideways/down recently, I see bearish patterns in NYA and markets so I think we get another sharp sell off coming this week. Target would be around 1920-1930 area to downside on SPX.
5. DAX looks like made a long term top at 10.000 and has started a MASSIVE correction with many European markets.
So all in all , as long SPX are below 1984-1985 I remain bearish for mkts and think we sell off this week.
Seasonality also suggest that mid to late July (is bearish period) in July , and this fits well , the late July (last days of July) is strong , so if we get a sharp sell off this week , we can rebound from next again.