Nov 30

Market view updated for 1st of December 2014

Markets has been extremely strong and as I mentioned few weeks ago – dont bet on too much downside anymore this year. It looks like mkts is already on holidays and therefore we could expect a slow steady grind higher for rest of year. Of course mkts is extremely overbought now so a pullback should be expected , but should also be bought long.

1. Gold saw a move up to MA50 and since then saw a sharp pullback on Friday. Hopefully that is only a pullback down to 1170-1180 support before seeing another impulsive rally higher above MA50. Gold must hold the previous 1130s lows this coming week if this count is correct.

2. GDX again showing a bottom formation , expect GDX and gold miners to rally strong into 2015 imo

3. SPX is due for a pullback , after a short pullback we should slowly grind higher once again , dont expect any big fear surprises anymore this year. We were spot on with the fear call in October where I stated that VIX should pop to 20-30 and mkts should sell off. This was what we got.

Conclusion: The conclusion is that I’m not shorting or going long mkts , but im playing individual stocks/sectors for now and especially small cap names cause they are usually doing the best here in December and January which is fantastic months statistical for the small cap sector.

 

No comments yet.

Add a comment

Top
(it will not be shared)